Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001ea3bc455a2dad2d2d036710fbc7c1a40c9fa4378ec58d555f89b098bd8cce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 66c | 15,122$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 5,976$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 5,214$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 4,753$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.78 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 4,630$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 37c | 2,710$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 1,612$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.57 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 33c | 1,458$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.14 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Yes | 34c | 1,428$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Yes | 9c | 1,114$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 1,062$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 919.58$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.02 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 864.23$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.84 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 32c | 605.37$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 567.45$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 550$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed No | 66c | 441.17$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…790cbacked No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed No | 66c | 271.21$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 70c | 155.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…0baabacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked No | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed No | 66c | 147.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked No | 66c | 147.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed No | 66c | 147.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Yes | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 62c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed No | 66c | 113.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 34c | 99.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 63c | 87.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed No | 66c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed No | 66c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9d1cbacked No | 66c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed No | 67c | 71.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…391bbacked No | 66c | 66.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…b4adbacked No | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 33c | 65.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed No | 66c | 60.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…4fdcbacked No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 34c | 58.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…e23cbacked Yes | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Yes | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed No | 66c | 51.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…ce51backed Yes | 36c | 39.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…039bbacked Yes | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 34c | 34.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Yes | 34c | 33.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 63c | 31.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…10e8backed No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked No | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed No | 67c | 29.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed No | 66c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…097abacked Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…9d81backed No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…6cb1backed Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 20.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 63c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
- Will Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.