Tennis · resolved market
ITF Landisville: Yexin Ma vs Katrina Scott
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x002a9fe3184b671634436dd7d86e6927ea14431fdb4648dd3e004f73e4a9de69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katrina Scottof Yexin Ma, Katrina Scott
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2b1…614fbacked Yexin Ma | 56c | 2,777$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yexin Ma | 53c | 1,764$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.66 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Katrina Scott | 45c | 1,157$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.24 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Katrina Scott | 43c | 599.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 508.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.49 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 480.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yexin Ma | 56c | 311.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Yexin Ma | 58c | 234.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Yexin Ma | 55c | 228.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yexin Ma | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Katrina Scott | 39c | 164.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Yexin Ma | 24c | 149.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Yexin Ma | 61c | 145.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Katrina Scott | 68c | 133.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yexin Ma | 56c | 130.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Yexin Ma | 21c | 119.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Katrina Scott | 79c | 105.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Katrina Scott | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 85.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Katrina Scott | 43c | 78.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yexin Ma | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Katrina Scott | 44c | 55.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Katrina Scott | 44c | 44.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Katrina Scott | 71c | 43.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Yexin Ma | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Yexin Ma | 55c | 31.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Katrina Scott | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Yexin Ma | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yexin Ma | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.