Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Filip Jianu vs Andrea Guerrieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x002dbbd33db3b470e69b57952c63e75b0583a6953f92e8947db0d5143c65138e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Guerrieriof Filip Jianu, Andrea Guerrieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Filip Jianu | 3c | 225,582$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.09 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Filip Jianu | 2c | 8,541$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 2,477$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 2,454$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.51 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Filip Jianu | 11c | 1,914$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Filip Jianu | 36c | 911.46$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 55c | 886.97$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Filip Jianu | 2c | 802.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Filip Jianu | 15c | 658.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Guerrieri | 76c | 635.25$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…7ed3backed Filip Jianu | 2c | 627.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Filip Jianu | 20c | 580.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 564.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.62 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Filip Jianu | 57c | 509.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 412.34$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 408.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Filip Jianu | 58c | 388.08$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Filip Jianu | 57c | 363.26$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 343.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Filip Jianu | 56c | 343.55$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b2…94b8backed Filip Jianu | 54c | 278.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Filip Jianu | 58c | 253.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…dc43backed Filip Jianu | 15c | 244.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Filip Jianu | 57c | 216.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 181.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 174.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 156.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Filip Jianu | 21c | 148.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Filip Jianu | 20c | 141.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Filip Jianu | 32c | 101.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Filip Jianu | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Filip Jianu | 17c | 93.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Filip Jianu | 19c | 87.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Filip Jianu | 57c | 85.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Filip Jianu | 19c | 82.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 73.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Filip Jianu | 57c | 64.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Filip Jianu | 24c | 63.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Andrea Guerrieri | 77c | 62.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Filip Jianu | 17c | 62.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Filip Jianu | 57c | 59.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Filip Jianu | 55c | 58.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Andrea Guerrieri | 41c | 53.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Filip Jianu | 21c | 49.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Andrea Guerrieri | 41c | 48.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 38c | 47.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 46.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Filip Jianu | 57c | 46.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 45.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Filip Jianu | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 37c | 40.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Filip Jianu | 55c | 38.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Filip Jianu | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…296fbacked Filip Jianu | 35c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Filip Jianu | 57c | 32.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Filip Jianu | 58c | 31.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Filip Jianu | 58c | 24.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 24.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Andrea Guerrieri | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Filip Jianu | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.