CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x009d0b47ab3add07eb2035e805e0b2fca163bbc910a71c2bf6a3e6b6bdb173c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Sinners, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Sinners | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.97 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Young Ninjas | 49c | 9,942$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.28 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 49c | 2,890$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Young Ninjas | 39c | 1,780$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Sinners | 57c | 1,280$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 1,164$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.56 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Young Ninjas | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.9 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Sinners | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 79c | 617.55$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 26c | 536.35$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Sinners | 75c | 527.31$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.93 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Sinners | 62c | 502.71$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Young Ninjas | 21c | 433.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Young Ninjas | 41c | 319.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.97 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Young Ninjas | 49c | 311.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Young Ninjas | 53c | 302.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 297.62$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sinners | 48c | 163.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Young Ninjas | 44c | 160.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners | 76c | 154.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinners | 76c | 151$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Young Ninjas | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Young Ninjas | 66c | 145.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Young Ninjas | 67c | 106.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…5eddbacked Sinners | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Sinners | 78c | 104.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Young Ninjas | 31c | 85.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas | 24c | 82.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Young Ninjas | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 41c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sinners | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Sinners | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sinners | 26c | 48.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 34.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Sinners | 54c | 26.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Sinners | 48c | 24.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 64c | 18.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group StageYoung Ninjas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Young Ninjas (+1.5)Young Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.