CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00efb55c523e7892617d5e169b3b2fe86af42cdd255d11517668fdb8c7b5514c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Famalicão Esportsof Liquid, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FC Famalicão Esports | 39c | 2,139$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.09 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FC Famalicão Esports | 7c | 1,795$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.44 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid | 66c | 1,375$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.89 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 42c | 1,152$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.35 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 1,058$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Liquid | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Liquid | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 7c | 981.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.67 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Liquid | 57c | 797.71$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.14 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 25c | 703.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 758 | 57%432 W · 326 L | +49.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…f088backed Liquid | 10c | 623.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FC Famalicão Esports | 31c | 582.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Famalicão Esports | 8c | 542.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.85 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…2badbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 75c | 500$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked FC Famalicão Esports | 9c | 448.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.71 | 358 | 43%154 W · 204 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 422.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.77 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Famalicão Esports | 32c | 410.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 1,613 | 29.6%478 W · 1,135 L | -90.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Famalicão Esports | 38c | 340.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 334.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.24 | 311 | 26.4%82 W · 229 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Liquid | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked Liquid | 41c | 303.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed FC Famalicão Esports | 10c | 300$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…cb13backed Liquid | 79c | 294.12$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Liquid | 70c | 287.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Liquid | 40c | 285.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 70c | 285.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Famalicão Esports | 7c | 265.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 39c | 214.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Liquid | 62c | 208.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Liquid | 50c | 201.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Liquid | 59c | 173.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Liquid | 50c | 166.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Liquid | 62c | 165.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed FC Famalicão Esports | 10c | 160.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 627 | 53.9%338 W · 289 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 11c | 133.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 132$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 62c | 117.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 10c | 116.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 52c | 105.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 57c | 100.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Liquid | 40c | 93.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Liquid | 42c | 90.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 777 | 47.7%371 W · 406 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed FC Famalicão Esports | 28c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed Liquid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 64.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Liquid | 22c | 61.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 60.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…88c6backed FC Famalicão Esports | 72c | 50.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…9242backed FC Famalicão Esports | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Liquid | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Liquid | 56c | 49.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Liquid | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…b955backed Liquid | 47c | 37.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 36.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Liquid | 65c | 34.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Liquid | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Liquid | 74c | 29.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Liquid | 47c | 28.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Liquid | 68c | 22.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 447 | 54.8%245 W · 202 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Liquid | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Liquid | 69c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.