Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0105964b5cb405000aa9089b40acd9bf4aebf8d4c2a49a3fa799a413d3015b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof KT Rolster Challengers, Top Esports Challenger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 24c | 2,480$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.59 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed KT Rolster Challengers | 76c | 2,447$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Top Esports Challenger | 26c | 1,789$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.73 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed KT Rolster Challengers | 74c | 1,681$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.03 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed KT Rolster Challengers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…b694backed Top Esports Challenger | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Top Esports Challenger | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Top Esports Challenger | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed KT Rolster Challengers | 75c | 399.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed KT Rolster Challengers | 74c | 392.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 76c | 391.55$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 77c | 321.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Top Esports Challenger | 30c | 296.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Top Esports Challenger | 14c | 254.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Top Esports Challenger | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed KT Rolster Challengers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 77c | 80.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Top Esports Challenger | 25c | 76.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Top Esports Challenger | 22c | 72.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Top Esports Challenger | 26c | 66.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 71c | 60.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed KT Rolster Challengers | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance QualifierKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.