Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63843aba28fdf393d31df37a85ce04dd02aeabe4b82dfdc9a4e82eaf22667f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof Top Esports Challenger, KT Rolster Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Top Esports Challenger | 1c | 14,450$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Top Esports Challenger | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 7,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 1c | 5,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 4,923$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.6 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 4,538$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.93 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Top Esports Challenger | 15c | 3,280$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 2,679$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.43 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Top Esports Challenger | 3c | 2,403$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 1,766$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 1,323$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 1,200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 1,052$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed Top Esports Challenger | 4c | 950.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Top Esports Challenger | 6c | 849.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 786.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Top Esports Challenger | 4c | 666$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 3c | 665$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 618.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 528.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 453$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 430.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Top Esports Challenger | 3c | 413$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Top Esports Challenger | 3c | 405.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 364.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 340.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Top Esports Challenger | 6c | 313.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Top Esports Challenger | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 280.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Top Esports Challenger | 14c | 275.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…f91abacked Top Esports Challenger | 6c | 271.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Top Esports Challenger | 14c | 250.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…f7d7backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 215$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Top Esports Challenger | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 132.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports Challenger | 15c | 130.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 116.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 694 | 42.1%292 W · 402 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 112$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 103.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Top Esports Challenger | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed KT Rolster Challengers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance QualifierKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.