Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79d02a203e408f6b5e469e9c854fa4c7a945cc847265f28c0a97607f3afd155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof Top Esports Challenger, KT Rolster Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80d9…b694backed Top Esports Challenger | 2c | 17,070$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Top Esports Challenger | 1c | 13,001$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 8,917$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.04 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Top Esports Challenger | 2c | 5,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 3,175$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.19 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 3,028$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.02 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 0c | 2,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 2,706$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.88 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Top Esports Challenger | 4c | 2,548$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 2,468$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 2,458$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 2,068$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Top Esports Challenger | 2c | 1,113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 1,062$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 846.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 710.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Top Esports Challenger | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 635.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Top Esports Challenger | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 566.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 511.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Top Esports Challenger | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 443$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Top Esports Challenger | 12c | 428.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 400.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 3c | 399.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 9c | 395.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Top Esports Challenger | 7c | 285$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Top Esports Challenger | 10c | 243.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Top Esports Challenger | 8c | 237.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 215.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 215.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Top Esports Challenger | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Top Esports Challenger | 16c | 202.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Top Esports Challenger | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports Challenger | 16c | 121.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Top Esports Challenger | 13c | 119.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance QualifierKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.