Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0106e8471b9efb3bad2865fbac83f46275c6af3848e0c1626877bf99ab27a97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Noskova, Parry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Noskova | 48c | 15,073$7,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,837.91 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Parry | 52c | 12,035$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Parry | 50c | 3,367$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.92 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Parry | 52c | 2,904$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Noskova | 52c | 1,407$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.53 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Noskova | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Noskova | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Parry | 52c | 1,171$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Parry | 51c | 1,002$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.12 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Parry | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Parry | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Noskova | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Noskova | 50c | 525$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Noskova | 49c | 462.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Noskova | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Noskova | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Noskova | 48c | 334.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Noskova | 66c | 301.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Parry | 34c | 283.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Noskova | 68c | 238.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Parry | 32c | 221.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Noskova | 49c | 207.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -17.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Parry | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Noskova | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Noskova | 48c | 147.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Noskova | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Parry | 49c | 101.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Parry | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Noskova | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Noskova | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Parry | 48c | 48.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Noskova | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Noskova | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 427 | 45.7%195 W · 232 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Noskova | 52c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Parry | 51c | 23.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Noskova | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…e1a3backed Parry | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5)this page
- Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Diane ParryLinda Noskova won
- Linda Noskova vs. Diane Parry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Noskova vs. Parry: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Noskova vs. Parry: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs ParryNoskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.