Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland Pilots vs. Seattle Redhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b791462b1bc3a875196418b94c955ca95c4611b7a1075db4cf420b9eda58e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Portland Pilots, Seattle Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 1,876$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Portland Pilots | 23c | 1,533$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Seattle Redhawks | 80c | 836.17$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland Pilots | 26c | 608.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Portland Pilots | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Portland Pilots | 20c | 491.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Redhawks | 80c | 412.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Portland Pilots | 24c | 363$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portland Pilots | 19c | 357.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland Pilots | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 246$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Portland Pilots | 25c | 242.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 238.48$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Portland Pilots | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Portland Pilots | 8c | 197.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 171.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Portland Pilots | 13c | 161.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 150.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Portland Pilots | 24c | 134.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 132.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Portland Pilots | 18c | 105.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Portland Pilots | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Portland Pilots | 13c | 99.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Portland Pilots | 23c | 78.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots | 24c | 69.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 55.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Portland Pilots | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Portland Pilots | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 24.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Seattle Redhawks | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Pilots vs. Seattle Redhawksthis page
- Portland Pilots vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.