Tennis · resolved market
ITF Laval: Tristan Stringer vs Strong Kirchheimer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e0747c06831a76be8536cc8f7638e15b82cc34ccc237e693cedf6f1017c366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Strong Kirchheimerof Tristan Stringer, Strong Kirchheimer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 62c | 615.87$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tristan Stringer | 78c | 415.5$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Strong Kirchheimer | 79c | 412.7$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Strong Kirchheimer | 18c | 282.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Strong Kirchheimer | 46c | 204.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tristan Stringer | 35c | 191.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Tristan Stringer | 44c | 188.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tristan Stringer | 54c | 176.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Tristan Stringer | 17c | 171.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tristan Stringer | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tristan Stringer | 19c | 126.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tristan Stringer | 64c | 110$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Strong Kirchheimer | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Strong Kirchheimer | 25c | 94.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Strong Kirchheimer | 16c | 88.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tristan Stringer | 36c | 86.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Tristan Stringer | 71c | 76.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tristan Stringer | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Strong Kirchheimer | 16c | 64.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tristan Stringer | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Tristan Stringer | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tristan Stringer | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tristan Stringer | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Tristan Stringer | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Strong Kirchheimer | 32c | 41.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Tristan Stringer | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 49c | 32.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Strong Kirchheimer | 45c | 30.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Strong Kirchheimer | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Tristan Stringer | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.