Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01ecef5cf6358b0a1a1a241c66011c73daa7570b44cdb67ada566d6875844717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x698b…4426backed No | 56c | 2,911$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 1,862$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.89 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 1,590$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 1,238$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.63 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 67c | 889.91$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 739.79$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.51 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 722.32$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.61 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 16c | 556.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 77c | 479.8$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 56c | 430.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 306.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.47 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 29c | 276.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 34c | 258.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed No | 17c | 246$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 222.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 36c | 215.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…b4ebbacked No | 12c | 208.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 37c | 207.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed No | 25c | 193.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 44c | 179.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 38c | 171.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 37c | 154.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…d956backed Yes | 66c | 151.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 15c | 142.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 56c | 120.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 34c | 110.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 103.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 13c | 101.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 98.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 56c | 91.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 90.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 13c | 89.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 25c | 88.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 25c | 84.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 42c | 78.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 56c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 62.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 56c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 25c | 56.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 66c | 53.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 67c | 50.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 26c | 45.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 56c | 44.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 53c | 43.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 54c | 40.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 45c | 31.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 44c | 30.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 59c | 24.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 74c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.