Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94ec5df4754cde68265ece1a8d75b71c2161a8df079b87c81fe9e28f3ef4f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 15,422$11,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 7,556$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.74 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 27c | 3,554$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…23cdbacked Yes | 29c | 2,425$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 13c | 2,417$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.26 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 2,106$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 699.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 648.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 626.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 71c | 593.85$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 28c | 592.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 70c | 490$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 457.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 368.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 317.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 279.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 277.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 269.85$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 235$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 208.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 18c | 206.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 198.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 70c | 184.91$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 172.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 171$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 28c | 157.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 30c | 133.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 130.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 66.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 63.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 55.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 30c | 50.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 24c | 45.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 45.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 77c | 39.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 39.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 39.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 70c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 71c | 24.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 71c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.