Tennis · resolved market
Kouame vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02187dddfb2fd7305bc2111d14212d07e4b13ee06017238b2d25ad326a8f5195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 47c | 905.03$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.67 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 53c | 675$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.75 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac7…7d39backed Under | 52c | 650.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over | 49c | 488.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 48c | 482.32$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.81 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 51c | 289.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 60.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 53.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 52c | 34.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 48c | 34.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 51c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 51c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kouame vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Set 1 Winner: Kouame vs BasavareddyBasavareddy won
- Set 2 Winner: Kouame vs BasavareddyKouame won
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh BasavareddyNishesh Basavareddy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.