CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02410526f2fb7014e02afcf9bdd17b18cd49e66b6a736ac6ca4eec0371cf3f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Omega, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 30c | 2,352$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.9 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 71c | 2,041$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.95 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 76c | 1,412$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Ursa | 74c | 999.99$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Omega | 29c | 955.39$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.06 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Omega | 40c | 869.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Omega | 26c | 831.34$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.15 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 27c | 752.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Omega | 17c | 725.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Omega | 28c | 693.92$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…c569backed Omega | 10c | 686$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Omega | 36c | 427.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 26c | 408.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa | 60c | 396.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Omega | 18c | 373.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Ursa | 71c | 364.86$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Ursa | 63c | 364.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Ursa | 63c | 298.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Omega | 18c | 268.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 60c | 257.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ef9fbacked Ursa | 76c | 150.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Omega | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Ursa | 71c | 140.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Omega | 28c | 137.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Omega | 37c | 131.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Omega | 16c | 129.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Omega | 12c | 124.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Omega | 37c | 120.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Omega | 36c | 116.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked Omega | 18c | 112.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Ursa | 60c | 109.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Omega | 22c | 109.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Omega | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ursa | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Ursa | 75c | 98.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Omega | 31c | 98.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ursa | 66c | 94.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Ursa | 61c | 90.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Ursa | 64c | 78.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Omega | 38c | 73.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Omega | 25c | 65.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed Ursa | 69c | 61.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ursa | 67c | 59.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…c2e3backed Omega | 35c | 56.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked Omega | 27c | 54.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Omega | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…7de7backed Ursa | 66c | 50.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Ursa | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Omega | 31c | 49.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Ursa | 76c | 49.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Omega | 30c | 43.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Omega | 47c | 40.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Ursa | 73c | 40.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Omega | 43c | 40.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Omega | 27c | 38.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Ursa | 63c | 33.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Ursa | 72c | 33.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Omega | 41c | 32.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Ursa | 71c | 31.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ursa | 66c | 28.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…3b56backed Ursa | 71c | 20.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Ursa | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ursa | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.