CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs RUSTEC (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02731ffc12e3320827afa26ac5d433ac8bc24de41581a8e1ac7e71c763955a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof Virtus.pro, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,899$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RUSTEC | 55c | 2,331$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.85 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 550.23$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.9 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 481.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 460.54$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.09 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked RUSTEC | 28c | 228.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed RUSTEC | 67c | 205.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 180$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 144.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 133.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed RUSTEC | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked RUSTEC | 54c | 111.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 107.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked RUSTEC | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed RUSTEC | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked RUSTEC | 63c | 63.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed RUSTEC | 55c | 59.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 58.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 53.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 50.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 48.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe586…d402backed RUSTEC | 28c | 45.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed RUSTEC | 46c | 43.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…59f9backed RUSTEC | 48c | 37.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked RUSTEC | 45c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 28.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed RUSTEC | 49c | 26.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed RUSTEC | 41c | 24.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed RUSTEC | 71c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2978backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs RUSTEC (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.