CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029801ef7b9dff7de1394f1ab36452b161fe258d25067548ab32bf4fc3c81461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Wildcard, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Wildcard | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wildcard | 38c | 573.81$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.89 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 52c | 515.91$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Wildcard | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 52c | 484.07$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FOKUS | 20c | 450$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS | 74c | 300.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Wildcard | 59c | 291.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wildcard | 15c | 250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wildcard | 56c | 192.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS | 54c | 162.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed FOKUS | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Wildcard | 63c | 78.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed FOKUS | 26c | 77.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wildcard | 35c | 73.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Wildcard | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 61c | 70.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…bc06backed Wildcard | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FOKUS | 35c | 61.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Wildcard | 66c | 60.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 498 | 66.9%333 W · 165 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Wildcard | 72c | 50.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Wildcard | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Wildcard | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked Wildcard | 68c | 28.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Wildcard | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Wildcard | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.