Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0338d6f82442e6528100283b69e48cd72fe306541b3db2c16b4a82be086a1d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 4c | 10,398$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.91 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 5c | 4,083$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 5c | 3,125$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 10c | 2,559$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 8c | 2,398$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked No | 8c | 2,213$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 2c | 2,083$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 5c | 1,671$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 6c | 1,570$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 6c | 1,486$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 9c | 706.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 7c | 625.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 6c | 619$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 7c | 591$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 10c | 563.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed No | 6c | 457.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 6c | 314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 313.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 7c | 251.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 7c | 241.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 8c | 238.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 8c | 222.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 9c | 216$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed No | 8c | 215.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 12c | 201.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 18c | 92.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 80c | 39.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Yes | 80c | 30.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri end in a draw?No won
- Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.