Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gandia: Sergi Fita Juan vs Eric Vanshelboim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044c53e75c2fda52971d40161992f3eaabcf69c75312b09a5622cd567d8a9d3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eric Vanshelboimof Sergi Fita Juan, Eric Vanshelboim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sergi Fita Juan | 42c | 4,470$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sergi Fita Juan | 11c | 2,799$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sergi Fita Juan | 43c | 440.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eric Vanshelboim | 58c | 394.45$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Eric Vanshelboim | 57c | 331$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Sergi Fita Juan | 18c | 241.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eric Vanshelboim | 65c | 212.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Sergi Fita Juan | 70c | 180.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sergi Fita Juan | 43c | 144.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Sergi Fita Juan | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 28c | 136.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sergi Fita Juan | 44c | 123.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sergi Fita Juan | 35c | 121.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sergi Fita Juan | 40c | 101.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Eric Vanshelboim | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Sergi Fita Juan | 42c | 97.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Sergi Fita Juan | 42c | 92.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sergi Fita Juan | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Sergi Fita Juan | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Sergi Fita Juan | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sergi Fita Juan | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Sergi Fita Juan | 43c | 68.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Eric Vanshelboim | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sergi Fita Juan | 21c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sergi Fita Juan | 33c | 56.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Eric Vanshelboim | 64c | 54.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Sergi Fita Juan | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 48c | 50.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 48c | 45.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sergi Fita Juan | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Eric Vanshelboim | 65c | 28.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eric Vanshelboim | 65c | 28.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Eric Vanshelboim | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Eric Vanshelboim | 53c | 24.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Sergi Fita Juan | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eric Vanshelboim | 64c | 19.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.