Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a2a91574becb678befe5571389aa2c11079d9130dafec3af1498fc699d1ef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 2c | 1,042$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 44c | 540.3$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 300.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 27c | 294.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 221.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 73c | 216$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed No | 69c | 213.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…522dbacked Yes | 48c | 210.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 208.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 26c | 181.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 74c | 172.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 43c | 163.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 159.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked No | 56c | 144.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 16c | 139.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 132.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 128.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 36c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 46c | 119.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 58c | 115.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 111.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 110.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 109.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 43c | 103.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 51c | 98.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 98.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 57c | 90.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 84.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 46c | 83.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 79.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 78.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 44c | 74.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 50c | 74.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 62.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 49c | 60.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 80c | 60.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 75c | 60.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 21c | 56.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 42c | 55.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 55.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 78c | 51.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 43c | 49.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 44.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 53c | 40.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 38c | 35.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 36c | 35.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 56c | 34.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 67c | 33.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 33.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 69c | 33.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 49c | 31.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 58c | 31.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 58c | 30.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 37c | 29.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 51c | 24.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 78c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 62c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 73c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.