TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,090 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57b9…d142backed Under52c5,994$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.079752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c4,933$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.8185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ba…1e32backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15b…63d4backed Over49c3,922$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161b…acc2backed Under52c3,071$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c2,908$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.1636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c2,691$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.1551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c2,053$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.641,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,748$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.331,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under51c1,217$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6786852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under51c1,107$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1236648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under51c1,021$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c885.08$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.391,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over48c766.64$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.6622747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Under52c757.69$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3944372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over49c499.56$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7733837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2002…de36backed Under51c441.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Over50c400.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.695658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over44c300.91$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.313348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15327049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c288$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8833950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under56c280.2$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9118557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a08…4badbacked Under52c246.15$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9357…407ebacked Over50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c222$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0453849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under51c194.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0317553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3643…6f73backed Over49c176.1$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…1b9dbacked Under51c176$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e03…a866backed Over50c171$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb2…77ccbacked Over49c170.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d9…6fcabacked Under51c168$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd2…a2d0backed Over49c167.9$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a23…ab5fbacked Over49c162.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe64…e1ffbacked Under51c162$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x463d…516ebacked Under51c161$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…4135backed Over49c160.93$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc04…069abacked Over49c159.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cf…45a0backed Under51c159$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under51c155.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.533850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875e…2c1fbacked Under51c155$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d06…3beebacked Over49c155$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…9c4abacked Under51c155$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154a…47e6backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e88…c1e5backed Over49c149.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb91…754ebacked Under51c149$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…82a1backed Under51c148$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031b…40bdbacked Over49c147.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff9f…3d4ebacked Over49c147.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Under51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757552%39 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b43…8228backed Over49c147.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1269…0f56backed Under51c147$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e8…8777backed Over49c146.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over49c144$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.447853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd36…15d3backed Over49c143.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd1…5cd7backed Under51c143$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…9807backed Under51c143$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4438…6122backed Under51c142$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over79c141.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.392,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c140.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.212,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd634…1b68backed Over49c140.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03a…0a60backed Over49c138.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b4…0ab2backed Under51c138$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4df…a28bbacked Under51c137$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafb…0b47backed Over49c131.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16be…533abacked Over49c130.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e9…d76abacked Over49c130.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656346%29 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9e…04ccbacked Under51c128$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304a…69c0backed Over49c127.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea84…4620backed Over49c125.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3f…c55ebacked Under51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8067…ee70backed Over49c123.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5146…4a9abacked Under51c121$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf651…618fbacked Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x232d…1426backed Under52c79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over49c69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.199849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8c…81febacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Over49c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.584656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3487…1fb9backed Under52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.996145.9%28 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4824346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Under51c47.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1815649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over49c47.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.154245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over55c42.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over50c41.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.96051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under50c41.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87635.5%27 W · 49 L-12.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x104f…1be4backed Under52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf7…d632backed Under52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under52c39.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7319951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Under43c39.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0112335.8%44 W · 79 L-14.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.