Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05417522a7d81f97002e0ff1bd6f06bb1bf1558dd8815d290e1dc1d350a7e073
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 55c | 16,292$8,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,978.57 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 5,997$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 4,101$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.62 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 44c | 2,601$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.31 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 54c | 2,009$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.94 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 44c | 1,991$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.05 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Over | 48c | 1,983$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 45c | 1,626$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.65 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Over | 48c | 1,242$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 48c | 991.26$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 925.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 46c | 611.7$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.66 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 44c | 594.83$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 45c | 375$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 312.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 210.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 48c | 208.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 205.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 45c | 129.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 126.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 97.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 54c | 54.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 47c | 54.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 53c | 50.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 43c | 50.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 48c | 41.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 40.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 45c | 39.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 45c | 36.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 139.5this page
- Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Little Rock TrojansLittle Rock Trojans won
- Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.