MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056b3bb1ab8263c049625cca4c6bf7df18bb34ef3a6c53b3ee173d8027d6f0c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 51c | 2,895$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.45 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 2,400$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.19 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 954.78$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.94 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 838.17$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.46 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 50c | 279$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 278.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Under | 62c | 162.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 131.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Under | 48c | 118.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Over | 51c | 102.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…82adbacked Over | 48c | 98.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…7af1backed Under | 52c | 96.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 84.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 80.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 38c | 76.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Over | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 43c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 59.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 46.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 40.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 40.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 28.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Over | 52c | 26.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 26.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 49c | 24.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 20.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 20.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 19.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis CardinalsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.