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Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,242 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…aa71backed Over61c995.56$607 inWon+$388.278357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c446.5$175 inLost-$175.141,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c240.16$94 inLost-$93.662,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c188.1$73 inLost-$73.3639043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under40c106$42 inLost-$42.48425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over60c106$64 inWon+$42.442850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c79.35$32 inLost-$31.741,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c79.35$48 inWon+$31.7497332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under39c40.84$16 inLost-$163151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+89.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under39c38.46$15 inLost-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over58c33.42$19 inWon+$14.0463748.4%308 W · 329 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under39c33.01$13 inLost-$12.876157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.