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Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,305 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c3,342$939 inLost-$938.541,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inWon+$1,199.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over59c511.78$300 inWon+$211.781877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c444.23$178 inLost-$177.692,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under41c237.79$97 inLost-$97.495749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under41c237.78$97 inLost-$97.493857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b01…c511backed Over59c151.76$90 inWon+$61.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under42c148.27$62 inLost-$61.588425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over59c119.66$71 inWon+$49.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over59c101.7$60 inWon+$41.71060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under41c99.99$41 inLost-$41862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under40c91.8$37 inLost-$36.727352.1%38 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c71.26$27 inLost-$27.261,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c58$24 inLost-$23.7841551.1%212 W · 203 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c57$24 inLost-$23.9457347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c57$24 inLost-$23.9463748.4%308 W · 329 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b6f…c986backed Over61c46$28 inWon+$17.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under40c37.5$15 inLost-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…a267backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon+$12.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c71…4fbabacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over58c19.43$11 inWon+$8.1642850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.