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Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under19c31,141$5,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,964.616848.5%33 W · 35 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over60c27,644$16,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,079.5418141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under40c9,415$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,765.974351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c5,225$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.266547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under40c4,397$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.974346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under41c4,000$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.988927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over61c3,266$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over60c3,250$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c2,500$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.836744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Over59c2,452$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c2,425$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.235746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under40c2,033$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.6319447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80070446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c1,929$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.739043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c1,527$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.9761741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004050%20 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under40c1,301$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8149751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over58c1,213$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.465450%27 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014020.7%29 W · 111 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c853.08$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.231,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over60c623.33$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c467$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.841551.1%212 W · 203 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c467$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.857347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c467$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.863748.4%308 W · 329 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c421.49$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.222,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb6…97c4backed Over59c405.36$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over77c400$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c356.32$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7544837.7%169 W · 279 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under41c296.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4153546.7%250 W · 285 L+2.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over59c254.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf4…d0b2backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c222.79$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2697332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under40c210.44$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1816852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c177.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8435832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Under41c175.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2642444.1%187 W · 237 L-22.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over59c169.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497826.9%21 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ba…2cf3backed Over59c148.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c142.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7372548.6%352 W · 373 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under39c131$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.095635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over60c121.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.412638.1%48 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under41c113.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.094542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Under9c111.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick28cpaid+99.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under9c111.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%6 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over76c104.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.951392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick70cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256c…259bbacked Under40c92.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c5…7ba3backed Over59c81.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+71.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620656.8%117 W · 89 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9f…10cabacked Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7af1…92cbbacked Over59c62.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2213767.2%92 W · 45 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182070%14 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under40c48.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.495145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over72c46.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2412846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under41c42.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.252441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under44c38.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2717556.6%99 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over58c31.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0942850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over60c28.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.217867.9%53 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under41c25.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.612053.3%64 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea88…261abacked Over59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over58c24.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.192166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Over59c20.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17af…cc13backed Over59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf0a…f2debacked Over60c18.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7716443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.