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Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under15c32,282$4,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,515.726848.5%33 W · 35 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c21,843$9,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,771.952,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c19,602$12,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,347.4479935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under57c12,358$7,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,331.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c9,862$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.451,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under37c9,175$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.141546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under63c8,362$5,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.945046%23 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under23c4,547$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.932259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c3,223$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.11,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c2,975$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.768318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over51c1,595$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4717140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over26c1,400$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3571612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over78c1,348$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c1,210$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.2154239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c837.62$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.1732931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over19c778.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.963834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under43c690.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over48c680$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under39c641.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.039643.8%42 W · 54 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under41c603.17$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.0919259.9%115 W · 77 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under41c595.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4933057.6%190 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Under51c550$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under38c546$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6926653.8%143 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under41c501$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.288470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Over74c480.06$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.727352.1%38 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over11c384.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2951746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over3c351.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7446533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under34c294.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.112969%20 W · 9 L+6.9wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over53c281.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4644837.7%169 W · 279 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over64c277.78$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under78c240.34$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.087846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b3…e59ebacked Over76c236.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under36c223.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.596157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over74c212.04$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1317144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302825%7 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under73c196.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under19c179.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.957856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over19c173.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.228425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under43c134.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9816167.1%108 W · 53 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c133.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over76c116.37$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9414843.9%65 W · 83 L-12.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c115.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7622016.4%36 W · 184 L-40.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-70.4%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under48c110.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.193053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over36c101.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over73c101$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0512846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under76c97.15$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.325145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Over22c80.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ae…3a89backed Under80c77.45$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over52c76.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4110546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c8…20d5backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Over56c75.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over79c72.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6810945%49 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2412251.6%63 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under43c69.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.943571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under32c55.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.356758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under51c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6217556.6%99 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103828.9%11 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+72.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Under77c48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b7…665abacked Over59c37.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over62c31.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4119343%83 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda9…91f6backed Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over80c26.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.447566.7%50 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under67c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.542166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Under56c20.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over52c19.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under67c19.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.