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Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under10c24,233$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.916848.5%33 W · 35 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under63c18,079$11,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,370.742850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over74c6,774$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.5979935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over80c3,383$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.561,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over37c3,011$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.1851746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over39c2,345$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over37c1,765$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+61.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over37c1,752$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.013834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.1318434.8%64 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over37c1,311$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.9349751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over37c1,275$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.3819447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under63c1,220$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.895955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3062…4bc7backed Over38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.631250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over37c1,029$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.3636744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over36c1,024$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.2432150.5%162 W · 159 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63039042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under62c999.94$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.968927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c750.08$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5635746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over77c577.22$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8417140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c576.9$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6728747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed Over35c572$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under8c560.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.828318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under10c481.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under64c416$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2418141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over37c378.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.382227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c312.69$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19797332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over38c269.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.947856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over45c250$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over37c217.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9339043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over35c213.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+104.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over38c181.56$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1335832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under63c124.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under64c115.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.233452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Under64c101.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under63c90.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.153546.7%250 W · 285 L+2.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508657%49 W · 37 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under19c72.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8332931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over38c63.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6717556.6%99 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over38c62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under50c60.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under63c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6742444.1%187 W · 237 L-22.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over36c52.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5372548.6%352 W · 373 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over37c45.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under64c43.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over37c35.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5416852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Under30c34.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over37c34.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.878143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over36c30.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.576634.8%23 W · 43 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcda9…91f6backed Over34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over74c25.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6410546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffcb…d630backed Under63c24.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.510945%49 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over67c19.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.338470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.