South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0686b39646590f7d08d1fb16332a56d785c19f18f1a83cb7c502dc24296dc511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 1c | 7,171$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 3,455$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.87 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 881.55$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 35c | 807.83$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 710$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.9 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 29c | 709$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.88 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 48c | 528.68$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 38c | 508.45$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 433.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 52c | 384.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 280.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 231.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 69c | 228$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 19c | 189.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 31c | 187$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 69c | 179.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 35c | 171.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 165.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 144.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 142.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 138.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 135.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 31c | 128$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 32c | 127.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 63c | 105.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 64c | 102.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 44c | 91.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 25c | 82.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 79.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 76c | 75.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 34c | 72.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…f67fbacked Yes | 28c | 72.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…f3adbacked Yes | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…76abbacked Yes | 44c | 67.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 60.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 33c | 59.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 44c | 56.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 35c | 53.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 47.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 30c | 46.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 58c | 45.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 31c | 44.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 36c | 41.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 37.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 31c | 35.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed No | 76c | 18.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 67c | 15.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.