South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b08abb94ddc54645210b2870e4f13c9dd9ef353d4a02d3decfb8572862e75a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25e2…4ffcbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 40c | 16,835$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.15 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 7c | 6,746$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.57 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 69c | 6,744$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.82 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 11c | 6,623$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.41 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 2c | 6,270$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 18c | 3,704$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.29 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 3,487$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.76 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…cfefbacked No | 15c | 3,125$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 2c | 3,065$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 30c | 2,402$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.55 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 4c | 2,382$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,307$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.99 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 10c | 2,166$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 2,133$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked No | 24c | 1,763$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 1,735$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 1,730$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,697$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.38 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 73c | 1,690$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.3 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 7c | 1,288$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 68c | 1,191$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.23 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 31c | 1,037$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 13c | 841.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 670.1$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 10c | 555.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 8c | 543.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 90 | 32.2%29 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 65c | 433.33$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 8c | 407$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 76c | 397.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 10c | 381.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cba5backed No | 7c | 284.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 23c | 276.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed Yes | 75c | 267.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 8c | 258.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked Yes | 64c | 242.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 10c | 232.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 9c | 226.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 10c | 205.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 184.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed No | 12c | 180.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 173.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked No | 21c | 157.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 24c | 154.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 19c | 147.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 17c | 146.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 63c | 142.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 25c | 130.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 80c | 125.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 68c | 118.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 31c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 24c | 102.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 73c | 100.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 25c | 84.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 25c | 82.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 74c | 81.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…32a5backed Yes | 61c | 79.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 76c | 66.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 24c | 62.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 76c | 58.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…2d2dbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 49.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 26c | 44.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 43.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 26c | 40.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 60c | 37.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 68c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…85adbacked Yes | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…bcb3backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-07-29?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.