NBA · resolved market
Pacers win and Haliburton scores 21+ points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cfefc87ce23b7efa2a1bca6ff93dd4d0dcc73a4d99c4ef2199bb9e3ae735c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd621…bc07backed No | 63c | 765.29$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.44 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 62c | 249.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 61c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 36c | 144$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 36c | 133.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…a98ebacked Yes | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…89acbacked No | 64c | 124.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 40c | 104.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 34c | 80.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Yes | 38c | 63.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 36c | 62.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…91f6backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…8988backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…5f74backed Yes | 39c | 28.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.