Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0700e3304b9c5f695d593b50930cba7bb0eecfff53a386cdf55cf92dcadf2e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 55c | 3,090$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.62 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 3,047$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.29 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Over | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 804.71$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.31 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Over | 49c | 617.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 582.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.58 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 33c | 493.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.39 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 53c | 479.04$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 33c | 456.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 65c | 353.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 321.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Over | 49c | 306.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 183.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 157.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 61c | 153.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 65c | 141.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 19c | 90.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…718bbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 39.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 53c | 38.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 68c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b53…e3fdbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…9c26backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.