Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07463d37dfb5c46ae9dba76ca8557301b83868e0d50899147d3b0781e984387b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2eb…5977backed No | 0c | 11,285$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 1,681$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 47c | 673.77$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 350.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 39c | 271.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 57c | 267.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 253.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 34c | 251.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 24c | 251.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da0…05c8backed No | 64c | 220.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 210.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 37c | 208.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…e558backed No | 75c | 194.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 49c | 189.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 36c | 174.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 61c | 160.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 62c | 150.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 62c | 149.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 139.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 9c | 138.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 43c | 136.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 136.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed No | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 63c | 120.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 64c | 115.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 38c | 91.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 91.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 65c | 86.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 81.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 42c | 76.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bd…b428backed No | 65c | 74.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 45c | 73.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 25c | 72.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Yes | 40c | 71.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…2909backed Yes | 40c | 70.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e74…d7c4backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 66c | 68.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 38c | 66.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked Yes | 37c | 63.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 62.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 35c | 59.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 23c | 56.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 36c | 56.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 63c | 54.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 40c | 54.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 78c | 54.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 36c | 53.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 38c | 49.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 48.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed No | 67c | 48.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 53c | 48.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed No | 54c | 47.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e66…52f5backed Yes | 34c | 41.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…be26backed Yes | 39c | 38.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…17fbbacked Yes | 39c | 38.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 36.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 46c | 36.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…615abacked Yes | 39c | 35.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 30c | 35.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 37c | 31.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…a2acbacked No | 69c | 30.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 41c | 29.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 59c | 28.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d76…89c6backed Yes | 41c | 28.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 65c | 27.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 38c | 27.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0be4backed No | 64c | 24.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 55c | 24.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 63c | 24.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 61c | 23.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…5f98backed No | 64c | 22.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…399cbacked No | 66c | 20.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 73c | 19.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…7e9cbacked No | 63c | 19.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 62c | 19.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 62c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…fcdbbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…bdbfbacked No | 67c | 15.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.