Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb03b5bfc06d67623972f30e4944a7a59473ca593905a5fa16a111bad1d925089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1631…e954backed Yes | 2c | 1,028$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 57c | 971.55$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.46 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 277.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 39c | 275.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 53c | 272.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 49c | 266.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 40c | 182.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 181.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 37c | 137.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 42c | 129.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed No | 60c | 126$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 27c | 125.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 113.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 103.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…1d37backed Yes | 63c | 99.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked No | 64c | 96.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 68c | 91.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 88.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 60c | 79.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 75.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 64c | 75.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…c9a6backed No | 62c | 67.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 66.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 44c | 63.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 45c | 62.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 40c | 61.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 41c | 59.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 62c | 57.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…7b4fbacked Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 50c | 53.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 38c | 50.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 58c | 49.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…c265backed Yes | 39c | 48.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed Yes | 44c | 47.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 47.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…1a3fbacked Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 59c | 45.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 51c | 41.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…bd14backed Yes | 55c | 39.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 61c | 38.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…f304backed Yes | 60c | 38.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…0443backed Yes | 48c | 37.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…435ebacked No | 53c | 35.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…2dbfbacked Yes | 51c | 35.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864b…c846backed No | 62c | 34.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 34.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…9f22backed Yes | 52c | 32.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 53c | 32.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…0d2abacked No | 57c | 31.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…093dbacked Yes | 39c | 30.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…0307backed No | 63c | 30.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 46c | 30.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…d97fbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 37c | 29.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 63c | 28.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 40c | 28.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 41c | 28.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 40c | 27.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 60c | 26.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7970…3450backed No | 60c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 46c | 24.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…1b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…615abacked No | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 44c | 23.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69a…90f7backed Yes | 43c | 23.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…ddcebacked No | 55c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…399cbacked No | 60c | 21.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaad…6499backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b7…847cbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6825…836abacked Yes | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 62c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 54c | 19.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15be…186fbacked No | 62c | 17.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.