Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Clervie Ngounoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x082d49713115dd85093f6345dbb1368d63b8af91f4cbd8d1da56402ba5053d33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polina Kudermetovaof Polina Kudermetova, Clervie Ngounoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clervie Ngounoue | 12c | 9,164$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Polina Kudermetova | 76c | 3,026$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.32 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clervie Ngounoue | 7c | 1,670$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 13c | 1,595$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Polina Kudermetova | 64c | 1,385$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.9 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 38c | 1,028$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.71 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clervie Ngounoue | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Polina Kudermetova | 74c | 768.32$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Clervie Ngounoue | 13c | 543.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Clervie Ngounoue | 35c | 505$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 39c | 433.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Polina Kudermetova | 61c | 422.73$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 37c | 398.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 21c | 380.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 323$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 7c | 306$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Polina Kudermetova | 61c | 296.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Polina Kudermetova | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Clervie Ngounoue | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Clervie Ngounoue | 19c | 217.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 39c | 154.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 153.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 36c | 131.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Clervie Ngounoue | 35c | 116.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 18c | 111.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 16c | 102.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Clervie Ngounoue | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Polina Kudermetova | 60c | 99.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Clervie Ngounoue | 24c | 98.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 21c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Clervie Ngounoue | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Clervie Ngounoue | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Polina Kudermetova | 61c | 40.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Polina Kudermetova | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Clervie Ngounoue | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Clervie Ngounoue | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Clervie Ngounoue | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 293 | 52.2%153 W · 140 L | -21.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Polina Kudermetova | 73c | 28.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Polina Kudermetova | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Polina Kudermetova | 78c | 24.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…94aabacked Polina Kudermetova | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Clervie Ngounouethis page
- Set Handicap: Kudermetova (-1.5) vs Ngounoue (+1.5)Kudermetova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.