Ligue 1 · resolved market
Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086195f28b8d6f5c8b222741736039e49d910a2a6520a995343e0ff122ad5f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,527$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.79 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,208$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes | 52c | 600.11$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 568.52$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.63 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 379$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 50c | 282.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 50c | 205$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 198.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 12c | 197.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 50c | 179.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 50c | 178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 60c | 162.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 154.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Yes | 33c | 144.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 50c | 122.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 52c | 115.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…5813backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 32c | 42.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 56c | 40.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 51c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…865cbacked Yes | 50c | 35.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 57c | 32.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 59c | 31.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 50c | 28.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 26.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 45c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 19.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 18.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.