CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0921c0407c6a9fbc04c4c9194376f729d6b1d0177d2a8c8942e36b9d2da37d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 5,548$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 55c | 4,430$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 22c | 2,748$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.58 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Under | 68c | 2,048$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.44 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Under | 55c | 1,817$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.48 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 38c | 1,193$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0193backed Over | 46c | 646.63$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 51c | 593.18$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 11c | 543.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 49c | 419.48$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Over | 25c | 229.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Under | 71c | 226.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 46c | 170.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8a…3811backed Over | 25c | 118.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Over | 49c | 117.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…c495backed Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 54c | 81.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 34c | 65.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 35.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa4…9f20backed Under | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Under | 55c | 27.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 43c | 24.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.