CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59cd7745851888586b75b607211a5a21cad0cee8ea7a4071c8bb8e53ae5233f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof G2, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629c…6c01backed G2 | 11c | 15,437$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.53 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed G2 | 18c | 8,094$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.94 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 77c | 4,596$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 | 18c | 2,869$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…bfc3backed TheMongolz | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed G2 | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 1,600$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…6820backed G2 | 14c | 1,381$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 | 52c | 1,240$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.18 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed G2 | 8c | 1,202$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed G2 | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 853$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.09 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 800.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked TheMongolz | 48c | 630.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 | 36c | 601.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked G2 | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed G2 | 4c | 501.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 470.35$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked G2 | 56c | 459.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked G2 | 36c | 417.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed G2 | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed G2 | 60c | 380.25$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed TheMongolz | 61c | 308.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked G2 | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…4c87backed G2 | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked G2 | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked G2 | 53c | 296.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed G2 | 18c | 283.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed G2 | 14c | 274.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked TheMongolz | 42c | 272$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed G2 | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…90ebbacked TheMongolz | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…c30ebacked G2 | 13c | 195.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…fee8backed G2 | 13c | 193.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…020bbacked G2 | 15c | 162.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed G2 | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 143.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…41bebacked TheMongolz | 40c | 138.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…890abacked G2 | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed TheMongolz | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…f042backed TheMongolz | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz | 40c | 109.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa4…9f20backed TheMongolz | 69c | 101.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked TheMongolz | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed TheMongolz | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed G2 | 19c | 73.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…a398backed TheMongolz | 79c | 70.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…b71ebacked TheMongolz | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…55f2backed TheMongolz | 45c | 57.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TheMongolz | 61c | 53.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed TheMongolz | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed G2 | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…d384backed TheMongolz | 48c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.