Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x099728d425e868e2158a915a951a843fff65cc42e5ece723ef6aab666e9c996b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 13c | 1,700$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 9c | 1,063$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 48c | 1,053$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.81 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 9c | 994.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 77c | 992.23$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 24c | 800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 79c | 670$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 24c | 600.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 14c | 419.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 395.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 18c | 304.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 53c | 226.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 14c | 205.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 52c | 149.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 10c | 139.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 15c | 137.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 134.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 77c | 127.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 25c | 68.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 22c | 65.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 45c | 53.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.