Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ae33412e9c37a705b4a6fc409dd4d4e982e618a5a197c89e72af5106555df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 58c | 5,295$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.21 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 4,548$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 2,332$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.2 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 54c | 1,893$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.7 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,376$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.82 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked No | 6c | 334.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 289.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 274.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 49c | 230.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 39c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 62c | 87.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 43c | 60.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 46c | 59.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 46.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 46c | 43.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed No | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 43c | 29.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 41c | 24.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 59c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 61c | 20.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.