TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under5c15,943$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.8619340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c2,268$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.475,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c1,545$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.962,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over79c1,425$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.151,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under4c1,204$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c991.56$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.461,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under3c950$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.865420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over51c887.99$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.128854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c833.96$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.321,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over56c731.13$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8322949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under41c458.22$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6220638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under47c421.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over57c350.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.873619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under44c347.76$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7774739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under45c299.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3835751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under17c293.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over66c283.61$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1670842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c190$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.31,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under44c123.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.178440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4419556.9%111 W · 84 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over54c93.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.434062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…8ddabacked Under41c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over70c74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.282842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.13053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over57c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.031,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over57c59.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c44.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.342351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c43.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5396…88a9backed Under30c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2893…e849backed Over69c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d69…7018backed Under31c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d3…1fe3backed Over70c43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b3…5bafbacked Under49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1a…b2ebbacked Over52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe49…920bbacked Under48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x352f…b1d3backed Over51c41.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5963…6b6fbacked Under49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe47…c4b1backed Over51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a7c…b6fcbacked Under44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf41…6ab5backed Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5a…69f7backed Over67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…93bcbacked Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…2e56backed Under33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d1…e400backed Over56c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…a429backed Under36c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b26…94cbbacked Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c5…ff00backed Over64c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d52…c9c8backed Under48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b11…7621backed Under33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613d…33cfbacked Under36c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6956…e978backed Over67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…0867backed Over64c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2a…127cbacked Over69c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e1…6ef9backed Under31c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805e…7756backed Under45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…1110backed Over53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…53f5backed Under47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1651…6a81backed Over72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…5f2bbacked Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe836…44aebacked Under51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under43c34.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.836437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0406…cd27backed Under47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eab…4428backed Over53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22aa…72b9backed Over72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ca…903abacked Under45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf513…7596backed Over55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c28.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.991,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1813644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over53c26.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.668243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under48c26.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68859.1%52 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8618646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under47c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6125155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Over76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.562744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over63c15.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8956445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over72c15.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.