La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a98f6daa116f5d5610bdfd078b6c12ffb89b52257a0809e0cb553b3e4e31558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.35 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 3,895$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.87 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,246$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.84 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 737.7$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 722.44$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.97 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 55c | 393.77$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 379.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 45c | 332.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 43c | 210.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 45c | 162.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 44c | 127.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 111.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 31c | 49.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 56c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 61c | 19.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 55c | 19.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.