Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae3bd46b9f84258608c8f0eda381aff19ce69d15e88349da50823f32845d90a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Manhattan Jaspers, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 5,423$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 28c | 2,370$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 27c | 2,187$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.78 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 28c | 1,404$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…c4d9backed Manhattan Jaspers | 16c | 1,091$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 1,074$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Manhattan Jaspers | 22c | 1,060$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Manhattan Jaspers | 27c | 744.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Manhattan Jaspers | 19c | 522.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 79c | 450.77$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 26c | 354$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Manhattan Jaspers | 22c | 301.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 71c | 301$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manhattan Jaspers | 21c | 278$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 76c | 249.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 177.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 149.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Manhattan Jaspers | 16c | 141.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 72c | 139.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Manhattan Jaspers | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 80c | 103.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 69c | 86.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Manhattan Jaspers | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Manhattan Jaspers | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manhattan Jaspers | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…7492backed Manhattan Jaspers | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Manhattan Jaspers | 19c | 75.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 26c | 66.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Manhattan Jaspers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 53.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 31c | 50.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manhattan Jaspers | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Manhattan Jaspers | 28c | 47.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 79c | 45.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Manhattan Jaspers | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Manhattan Jaspers | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 80c | 17.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersthis page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-6.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.