Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b8e23fa3631dd305e2b2dfc6c774d2ecf29db6c412a24b1e8d3b29c0e9c4be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0bc…7c8cbacked Yes | 26c | 378.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 33c | 346.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 6c | 292.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 9c | 282.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 76c | 245.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 243.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 10c | 238.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 48c | 222.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 193.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 146.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 76c | 144.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 133.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 114.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 71c | 102.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 73c | 101.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 64c | 95.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 30c | 83.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 66.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 66.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 65.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 65c | 58.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 67c | 50.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed No | 77c | 48.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked Yes | 25c | 48.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 40.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 33c | 40.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 74c | 37.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 34.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…266cbacked No | 69c | 34.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 33.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 74c | 28.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 21.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 16.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 73c | 15.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.