MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bc5f8681eb53b0e5d1ede6714c404cd2ffb884c90e0a9b683b3f80ef5104c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 4,022$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.39 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,742$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 40c | 620$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 595.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 40c | 527$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 59c | 410.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.96 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 53c | 372.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 53c | 372.64$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 54c | 362.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 54c | 362.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 362$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0a3ebacked Under | 40c | 361.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 43c | 340.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 314.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 290.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 55c | 225.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 205.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 43c | 143.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 54c | 126.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 126.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 120.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 39c | 106.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 40c | 104.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Under | 55c | 89.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 50c | 78.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 58c | 75.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed Under | 53c | 67.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 56c | 50.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 43.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Under | 53c | 25.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 22.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 56c | 19.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Under | 62c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 16.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.