MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25d4937442a592edbd8485a97149fdd032a6d14adbd8edd2298794ffabd41db6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 57,743$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,743.33 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 39,550$18,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,984.21 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 7,275$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 5,457$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,815$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,478$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.94 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,430$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,066$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.93 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 1,000$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 553$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 530.43$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 451.2$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 406.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 349.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 308.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 284.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 248.31$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 212.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 209$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…bcf8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +109%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…2ff1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 187.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 180.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 104.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 99.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 84.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 26.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…62babacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 24.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 24.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 16.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.