Tennis · resolved market
ITF Don Benito: Ashleigh Harvey vs Noemi Maines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c40e9ebde7f31c09480c0f4de01825e57da427898ba3a952510877e66ef6831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noemi Mainesof Ashleigh Harvey, Noemi Maines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ashleigh Harvey | 23c | 6,229$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.23 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Noemi Maines | 74c | 2,710$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.65 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ashleigh Harvey | 24c | 2,440$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.22 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Ashleigh Harvey | 20c | 2,355$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.01 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Noemi Maines | 75c | 1,348$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.83 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Noemi Maines | 80c | 824.63$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Ashleigh Harvey | 10c | 731.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ashleigh Harvey | 20c | 618.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Noemi Maines | 76c | 567$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Noemi Maines | 71c | 546.01$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Noemi Maines | 79c | 505.2$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Noemi Maines | 79c | 488.81$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Noemi Maines | 77c | 305$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Noemi Maines | 75c | 305$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Noemi Maines | 77c | 220.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Noemi Maines | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Noemi Maines | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Noemi Maines | 71c | 136.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Noemi Maines | 75c | 126.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ashleigh Harvey | 20c | 109.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Noemi Maines | 74c | 93.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Noemi Maines | 73c | 88.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ashleigh Harvey | 25c | 83.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ashleigh Harvey | 22c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Noemi Maines | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Noemi Maines | 71c | 66.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Noemi Maines | 73c | 59.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Noemi Maines | 76c | 51.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Noemi Maines | 78c | 47.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Noemi Maines | 73c | 42.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Noemi Maines | 76c | 39.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Noemi Maines | 75c | 37.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Noemi Maines | 74c | 27.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Noemi Maines | 75c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Noemi Maines | 72c | 20.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Noemi Maines | 74c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Noemi Maines | 76c | 18.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.