Tennis · resolved market
Prague: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Matthew William Donald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c6afc7bc6780f257a68ab4fc0dacc97f43a7f82dac8b292af5d966e1a172de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew William Donaldof Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski, Matthew William Donald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 4c | 2,028$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 16c | 869.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matthew William Donald | 72c | 715.89$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 25c | 486.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matthew William Donald | 74c | 469.05$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 4c | 463.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Matthew William Donald | 56c | 365.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Matthew William Donald | 76c | 336.67$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 33c | 332.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Matthew William Donald | 75c | 246.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 52c | 201.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 24c | 201.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 9c | 199.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…7f44backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 21c | 194.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 19c | 153.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 13c | 126.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 20c | 120.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 22c | 107.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 33c | 84.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 27c | 68.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 20c | 64.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 23c | 63.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Matthew William Donald | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew William Donald | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 38c | 45.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 25c | 45.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Matthew William Donald | 70c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.