Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d22e4ea3cfacd6b0b43e5a7eaaece43650569a483e7788eb85f16673e3fbd55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c95…8188backed No | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 24c | 448.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 305.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 236.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 74c | 232.55$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 51c | 229.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 27c | 217.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 39c | 200.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 76c | 195.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 24c | 179.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 173.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 45c | 167.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 164.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 159.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 78c | 148.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 121$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 114.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 77c | 112.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 18c | 106.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 39c | 105.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 61c | 101.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked No | 46c | 99.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 42c | 96.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…9c5bbacked No | 35c | 93.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 24c | 92.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 89.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked Yes | 72c | 87.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 24c | 81.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 52c | 80.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Yes | 20c | 79.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 23c | 74.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 27c | 68.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 37c | 68.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed No | 79c | 63.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed No | 36c | 60.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 61c | 59.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 41c | 59.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c567backed No | 61c | 57.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 72c | 55.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 39c | 53.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 52.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked No | 78c | 51.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 36c | 45.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…77debacked Yes | 33c | 44.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 77c | 44.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed No | 49c | 42.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 76c | 41.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…6ddfbacked Yes | 77c | 39.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 54c | 37.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 55c | 35.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…a93bbacked Yes | 78c | 34.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 234 | 36.3%85 W · 149 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 74c | 33.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 62c | 32.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…3269backed No | 79c | 32.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 47c | 32.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…5da9backed No | 79c | 31.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 57c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 46c | 28.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 54c | 28.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 41c | 26.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4876…22e2backed Yes | 58c | 23.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 57c | 22.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…cb91backed No | 80c | 22.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…452fbacked Yes | 78c | 21.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…3475backed No | 66c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 67c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 67c | 19.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…008abacked No | 76c | 16.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 16.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 75c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 64c | 15.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.