Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d559c26728bbcc37c0ad09eefc8d1738892da830850cfb941e376ba1fa12f77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basavareddyof Basavareddy, Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaston | 27c | 7,031$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Basavareddy | 57c | 2,506$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.58 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Basavareddy | 63c | 1,514$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.69 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Basavareddy | 65c | 1,140$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Basavareddy | 73c | 927.86$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Basavareddy | 65c | 708.48$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gaston | 31c | 689.85$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Basavareddy | 64c | 652$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.04 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Basavareddy | 65c | 638$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Gaston | 24c | 627.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Gaston | 50c | 604.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Basavareddy | 64c | 598$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Gaston | 40c | 575.37$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Basavareddy | 60c | 496.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Basavareddy | 73c | 343.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Gaston | 38c | 333.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Gaston | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gaston | 39c | 245.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Basavareddy | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Gaston | 42c | 179.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Basavareddy | 56c | 176.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Gaston | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Basavareddy | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gaston | 35c | 142.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Basavareddy | 70c | 141.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Basavareddy | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Basavareddy | 57c | 119.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basavareddy | 54c | 108.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Gaston | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gaston | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gaston | 39c | 99.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Gaston | 31c | 97.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Gaston | 14c | 76.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gaston | 40c | 70.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Basavareddy | 53c | 70.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Basavareddy | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…6ef3backed Basavareddy | 64c | 62.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gaston | 33c | 61.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gaston | 32c | 51.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Basavareddy | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gaston | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…b798backed Basavareddy | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Basavareddy | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Basavareddy | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Basavareddy | 75c | 32.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Basavareddy | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Basavareddy | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Basavareddy | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Basavareddy | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.